Friday, June 1, 2012
A Day as Habs GM: Three Needs to Address
Montreal Canadiens General Manager Marc Bergevin has put together a strong front office staff. We know that at some point, he will add to his scouting team, and of course hire a Head Coach. But let's remember what has the biggest impact on Montreal turning around a season that saw them finish 15th in the Eastern Conference: the on-ice roster.
For all the excitement that has come with the breath of fresh air brought to the management team (and rightfully so), if some significant changes aren't made to the roster, the Habs might be doomed to find themselves in or near a draft lottery again a year from now. What specifically does the team need to return to post-season contention? Let's first look at what it has in place. Here's a sample roster/depth chart, with bolded players being under contract already, italicized players being unrestricted free agents currently on the roster, and other names being restricted free agents who are likely to be re-signed.
Max Pacioretty - David Desharnais - Erik Cole
Rene Bourque - Tomas Plekanec - Brian Gionta
Travis Moen - Lars Eller - Louis Leblanc
Mike Blunden - Ryan White - Aaron Palushaj
Josh Gorges - P.K. Subban
Andrei Markov - Alexei Emelin
Tomas Kaberle - Raphael Diaz
Carey Price
Peter Budaj
Yannick Weber, Blake Geoffrion, Petteri Nokelainen
Of the players from last season who are pending UFAs, Travis Moen is the only one I see being brought back, and thus the only one I included in this line-up. The above IS a complete team; the problem being, it's not a very good one. You have some pieces there to build around, but you also have a lot of misfits and weaknesses, and this is even excluding Scott Gomez under the assumption that he will somehow be let go.
To me, there are three key areas to be upgraded as soon as this summer - be it a draft-day trade, July 1st, or otherwise - to provide hope to Canadiens fans that a playoff berth next spring could be a reality. Here they are.
1) Scoring Support
The Canadiens are a team that, when watching them at some points of the season, you wonder how they will ever score another goal. Part of this may be a coaching system, with new bench boss hopefully preaching less of a defensive shell at times, but part of it is also a lack of talent. There is no question that both Max Pacioretty and Erik Cole should be and will be top 6 wingers on this squad. Tomas Plekanec is also at the least a top notch 2nd line center. That half of the top 6 appears locked in for the better.
On the other hand, will David Desharnais be able to repeat his production and performance of this season now that the secret about him is out? At 5'7", 177 lbs, will twin towers on his wings be enough to keep him effective against top opposing shutdown d-men all season long? Then there is a match-up issue with both Plekanec and Desharnais measuring under 6 feet, creating problems against bigger opposing centers. Indeed, ideally Montreal would upgrade its center line by bringing in a bigger player in place of Desharnais, or perhaps even in place of Plekanec if the organization is sold on little DD's ability. The problem is, no such player is available on this summer's free agent market, and they aren't available a dime a dozen in a trade. And the answer is that perhaps this problem can wait to be fixed. If Desharnais does replicate last season, then there isn't a dire need for a solution here, with a long-term answer perhaps draftable in a player like Alex Galchenyuk.
So if improving the center line may not be feasible this summer, what is? In my books, Rene Bourque should be a third line player on a top team (if he proves worthy of being on such a team at all). There are also some legitimate concerns about Brian Gionta's production after playing only 31 games last season, but even when healthy, he scored only 15 points, making for his lowest points-per-game average since 2003-04. Plus he has rarely showed good chemistry with Plekanec, and for size reasons can't really play on a line with Desharnais. While many doubt that the Canadiens would be willing to drop their captain to a "third line," his best fit might actually be flanking the bigger Lars Eller. Thus what would be needed are some upgrades to the the wings on the 2nd line.
We won't talk about who specifically could fit this bill today, but will have two features on it next Tuesday and Wednesday, with one option being the UFA route where there are a few interesting names, and another being trading up at the draft to select Nail Yakupov, who could be ready to make an immediate impact next season.
2) Top 4 Capable D-Man
When Andrei Markov was not ready to start the season - and ultimately out for most of it - there was a huge hole on the Montreal back-end. Alexei Emelin and Raphael Diaz did as much as one could expect for rookie blueliners pressed into regular service from the get-go, but P.K. Subban, when on his game, at least at this stage of his career, is at best a #2, and Josh Gorges would ideally be a 2nd pairing player. With Hal Gill's age making him less-than-adequate regular season Hal Gill, and Tomas Kaberle's shell of his former self not being a solution to any real question, the error in Pierre Gauthier's plan become obvious. The defense he assembled for last season was outright criminal, deserving of a firing on its own without getting into everything else wrong with his regime.
Now how do we fix it? We have to assume that Markov will start the season healthy, but it is reasonable to want to have a contingency in place. And that's without mentioning the fact that even a healthy Markov may not be the old Markov we knew. Certainly the one that joined the team late this season wasn't, though that was to be expected. He has a much better shot starting in September with the rest of the league. Still, he himself admitted at year's end that his knee still wasn't the same when turning, so there is a chance he never skates quite like he once did. If the new Markov should be, say, a #2 or 3 on most teams as opposed to a clear and away #1 defender, then it is evident Bergevin must move to upgrade his blueline.
The Canadiens have depth on the blueline, especially with Hamilton's back end being refilled with top notch prospects in the Fall. What the team needs is to add to their top end, allowing the existing players to slide down the depth chart, rather than add padding to the bottom. Just like big offensive centers, top pairing defenders don't come without a cost, but the free agent market does offer a little help. While it may not be overflowing with #1s or 2s, there are enough who could at least fill a top 4 role to keep Canadiens fans interested on July 1st. The player should be big to add size to the top 6, and able to handle his own in the defensive zone. I'll go over my personal preferences for targets in a future Top 10 list, but you can get a head start by checking out the list of pending UFAs via CapGeek here: http://capgeek.com/free_agents.php
The issues with adding a top-notch defender are two-fold: one being the lack of a roster spot, and the other being salary cap room. The obvious answer is to get rid of an entirely superfluous player in Tomas Kaberle, who while his production last season wasn't awful, doesn't fill any real need on this team any longer. He can't be trusted reliably with a 5-on-5 shift, and over $4M per season for a guy to play on a second powerplay unit doesn't make dollars or sense. It remains to be seen if the team will be able to find a taker for him.
3) Bottom 6 Forward
The last addition should be the simplest of the three, though we could have said the same a year ago. The Habs not so wisely were ready to hand the job to Andreas Engqvist before he had proven he could handle it, opting not to sign anyone for a fourth line role. In fairness, they weren't expecting Ryan White to go down and miss as much time as he did, but this shows the importance of being prepared with depth. After a failed waiver claim of the injured Blair Betts, the team had to give up its 7th round selection in this June's draft to acquire Petteri Nokelainen. Not that a 7th round pick is a huge price to pay, but as we illustrated Tuesday, every draft selection has the potential to be valuable.
The Canadiens have a number of players who could play on the third or fourth lines, with guys like Nokelainen, Brad Staubitz, Mike Blunden, Blake Geoffrion, and Mathieu Darche who all may or may not be back next season. None of these guys are overly impressive at their respective career stages, and while they could end up with the jobs, I'd like to see some fresh blood brought in to give the bottom six a new look. I want size. I want toughness. I want an in-your-face aggressive forechecker who can erase players along the boards on every shift. Alternatively, I want a shutdown centerman who can win face-offs. Something different that the present group doesn't deliver. I think Ryan White is a good fit to remain part of this group, and Lars Eller is penciled in as third line center unless he's tried in a more offensive role on the wing. Louis Leblanc is likely to make the team out of training camp, and most probably will be a third line winger. Travis Moen would be a good player to bring back for his physicality and off-ice leadership. If we achieve the first objective on this list, one of Bourque or Gionta will also be a third line winger, so we're down to one open spot.
There is no shortage of potential UFAs to fill this job, but unlike a year ago, I do hope the Canadiens make a move and bring someone in. Who they may pick up will will also be the subject of a later piece, but regardless of the player, the point remains the same: sign somebody in July when they're available for no assets. Why reserve jobs for Blunden, Staubitz (who I'd see more as a 13th forward) or Aaron Palushaj (who is out of place in a non-scoring role)? Bring in a guy or two and let them battle it out in training camp. The losers can be dealt or - worst case scenario - waived to reinforce a very young Hamilton Bulldogs roster to be.
If the Habs manage to add at least one quality name for each of these three gaps, I think there will be even more to look forward to in 2012-13. It won't be an easy summer for Bergevin, and I don't think a failure to address all three areas should disappoint fans, but they are places he should be looking to add even into the season. As it progresses, we'll also have a better picture of when and to what extent future assets like Jarred Tinordi and Brendan Gallagher might be ready to plug some holes on the roster.
For all the excitement that has come with the breath of fresh air brought to the management team (and rightfully so), if some significant changes aren't made to the roster, the Habs might be doomed to find themselves in or near a draft lottery again a year from now. What specifically does the team need to return to post-season contention? Let's first look at what it has in place. Here's a sample roster/depth chart, with bolded players being under contract already, italicized players being unrestricted free agents currently on the roster, and other names being restricted free agents who are likely to be re-signed.
Max Pacioretty - David Desharnais - Erik Cole
Rene Bourque - Tomas Plekanec - Brian Gionta
Travis Moen - Lars Eller - Louis Leblanc
Mike Blunden - Ryan White - Aaron Palushaj
Josh Gorges - P.K. Subban
Andrei Markov - Alexei Emelin
Tomas Kaberle - Raphael Diaz
Carey Price
Peter Budaj
Yannick Weber, Blake Geoffrion, Petteri Nokelainen
Of the players from last season who are pending UFAs, Travis Moen is the only one I see being brought back, and thus the only one I included in this line-up. The above IS a complete team; the problem being, it's not a very good one. You have some pieces there to build around, but you also have a lot of misfits and weaknesses, and this is even excluding Scott Gomez under the assumption that he will somehow be let go.
To me, there are three key areas to be upgraded as soon as this summer - be it a draft-day trade, July 1st, or otherwise - to provide hope to Canadiens fans that a playoff berth next spring could be a reality. Here they are.
1) Scoring Support
The Canadiens are a team that, when watching them at some points of the season, you wonder how they will ever score another goal. Part of this may be a coaching system, with new bench boss hopefully preaching less of a defensive shell at times, but part of it is also a lack of talent. There is no question that both Max Pacioretty and Erik Cole should be and will be top 6 wingers on this squad. Tomas Plekanec is also at the least a top notch 2nd line center. That half of the top 6 appears locked in for the better.
On the other hand, will David Desharnais be able to repeat his production and performance of this season now that the secret about him is out? At 5'7", 177 lbs, will twin towers on his wings be enough to keep him effective against top opposing shutdown d-men all season long? Then there is a match-up issue with both Plekanec and Desharnais measuring under 6 feet, creating problems against bigger opposing centers. Indeed, ideally Montreal would upgrade its center line by bringing in a bigger player in place of Desharnais, or perhaps even in place of Plekanec if the organization is sold on little DD's ability. The problem is, no such player is available on this summer's free agent market, and they aren't available a dime a dozen in a trade. And the answer is that perhaps this problem can wait to be fixed. If Desharnais does replicate last season, then there isn't a dire need for a solution here, with a long-term answer perhaps draftable in a player like Alex Galchenyuk.
So if improving the center line may not be feasible this summer, what is? In my books, Rene Bourque should be a third line player on a top team (if he proves worthy of being on such a team at all). There are also some legitimate concerns about Brian Gionta's production after playing only 31 games last season, but even when healthy, he scored only 15 points, making for his lowest points-per-game average since 2003-04. Plus he has rarely showed good chemistry with Plekanec, and for size reasons can't really play on a line with Desharnais. While many doubt that the Canadiens would be willing to drop their captain to a "third line," his best fit might actually be flanking the bigger Lars Eller. Thus what would be needed are some upgrades to the the wings on the 2nd line.
We won't talk about who specifically could fit this bill today, but will have two features on it next Tuesday and Wednesday, with one option being the UFA route where there are a few interesting names, and another being trading up at the draft to select Nail Yakupov, who could be ready to make an immediate impact next season.
2) Top 4 Capable D-Man
When Andrei Markov was not ready to start the season - and ultimately out for most of it - there was a huge hole on the Montreal back-end. Alexei Emelin and Raphael Diaz did as much as one could expect for rookie blueliners pressed into regular service from the get-go, but P.K. Subban, when on his game, at least at this stage of his career, is at best a #2, and Josh Gorges would ideally be a 2nd pairing player. With Hal Gill's age making him less-than-adequate regular season Hal Gill, and Tomas Kaberle's shell of his former self not being a solution to any real question, the error in Pierre Gauthier's plan become obvious. The defense he assembled for last season was outright criminal, deserving of a firing on its own without getting into everything else wrong with his regime.
Now how do we fix it? We have to assume that Markov will start the season healthy, but it is reasonable to want to have a contingency in place. And that's without mentioning the fact that even a healthy Markov may not be the old Markov we knew. Certainly the one that joined the team late this season wasn't, though that was to be expected. He has a much better shot starting in September with the rest of the league. Still, he himself admitted at year's end that his knee still wasn't the same when turning, so there is a chance he never skates quite like he once did. If the new Markov should be, say, a #2 or 3 on most teams as opposed to a clear and away #1 defender, then it is evident Bergevin must move to upgrade his blueline.
The Canadiens have depth on the blueline, especially with Hamilton's back end being refilled with top notch prospects in the Fall. What the team needs is to add to their top end, allowing the existing players to slide down the depth chart, rather than add padding to the bottom. Just like big offensive centers, top pairing defenders don't come without a cost, but the free agent market does offer a little help. While it may not be overflowing with #1s or 2s, there are enough who could at least fill a top 4 role to keep Canadiens fans interested on July 1st. The player should be big to add size to the top 6, and able to handle his own in the defensive zone. I'll go over my personal preferences for targets in a future Top 10 list, but you can get a head start by checking out the list of pending UFAs via CapGeek here: http://capgeek.com/free_agents.php
The issues with adding a top-notch defender are two-fold: one being the lack of a roster spot, and the other being salary cap room. The obvious answer is to get rid of an entirely superfluous player in Tomas Kaberle, who while his production last season wasn't awful, doesn't fill any real need on this team any longer. He can't be trusted reliably with a 5-on-5 shift, and over $4M per season for a guy to play on a second powerplay unit doesn't make dollars or sense. It remains to be seen if the team will be able to find a taker for him.
3) Bottom 6 Forward
The last addition should be the simplest of the three, though we could have said the same a year ago. The Habs not so wisely were ready to hand the job to Andreas Engqvist before he had proven he could handle it, opting not to sign anyone for a fourth line role. In fairness, they weren't expecting Ryan White to go down and miss as much time as he did, but this shows the importance of being prepared with depth. After a failed waiver claim of the injured Blair Betts, the team had to give up its 7th round selection in this June's draft to acquire Petteri Nokelainen. Not that a 7th round pick is a huge price to pay, but as we illustrated Tuesday, every draft selection has the potential to be valuable.
The Canadiens have a number of players who could play on the third or fourth lines, with guys like Nokelainen, Brad Staubitz, Mike Blunden, Blake Geoffrion, and Mathieu Darche who all may or may not be back next season. None of these guys are overly impressive at their respective career stages, and while they could end up with the jobs, I'd like to see some fresh blood brought in to give the bottom six a new look. I want size. I want toughness. I want an in-your-face aggressive forechecker who can erase players along the boards on every shift. Alternatively, I want a shutdown centerman who can win face-offs. Something different that the present group doesn't deliver. I think Ryan White is a good fit to remain part of this group, and Lars Eller is penciled in as third line center unless he's tried in a more offensive role on the wing. Louis Leblanc is likely to make the team out of training camp, and most probably will be a third line winger. Travis Moen would be a good player to bring back for his physicality and off-ice leadership. If we achieve the first objective on this list, one of Bourque or Gionta will also be a third line winger, so we're down to one open spot.
There is no shortage of potential UFAs to fill this job, but unlike a year ago, I do hope the Canadiens make a move and bring someone in. Who they may pick up will will also be the subject of a later piece, but regardless of the player, the point remains the same: sign somebody in July when they're available for no assets. Why reserve jobs for Blunden, Staubitz (who I'd see more as a 13th forward) or Aaron Palushaj (who is out of place in a non-scoring role)? Bring in a guy or two and let them battle it out in training camp. The losers can be dealt or - worst case scenario - waived to reinforce a very young Hamilton Bulldogs roster to be.
If the Habs manage to add at least one quality name for each of these three gaps, I think there will be even more to look forward to in 2012-13. It won't be an easy summer for Bergevin, and I don't think a failure to address all three areas should disappoint fans, but they are places he should be looking to add even into the season. As it progresses, we'll also have a better picture of when and to what extent future assets like Jarred Tinordi and Brendan Gallagher might be ready to plug some holes on the roster.
Thursday, May 31, 2012
Bob Hartley Announced as Flames Head Coach
The coaching candidate pool in Montreal took a blow today as the Calgary Flames announced that Bob Hartley will be the team's next Head Coach.
Hartley was considered a frontrunner for the Montreal job, though we may never know if GM Marc Bergevin opted for another candidate, or if it was Hartley who turned down the Canadiens interest to join the Flames. Many fake Twitter insiders took an educated guess that Hartley would be Bergevin's man, announcing it as fact over the internet during the past week, which should be a lesson to many in trusting certain sources. It seems Hockey Insider 101 has become make a pre-emptive announcement then hope it comes true so you can claim yourself an insider. If it doesn't, just say your sources were wrong or some parameter changed. Appears to be a great recipe for gaining followers, but not one this site or Twitter account will ever endorse.
With Hartley out of the equation (and reportedly Patrick Roy out of consideration as well), that leaves Guy Carbonneau, Michel Therrien, and Marc Crawford as the most widely-discussed Montreal coaching candidates. Other bilingual names mentioned include Martin Raymond and Benoit Groulx, though many hope an unheralded candidate ends up winning out, unimpressed by these names.
Bob McKenzie appears to believe it's down to Therrien and Crawford for the job:
UPDATES: A few tidbits from Hartley's press conference in Calgary this afternoon.
- Yes, he had met with the Canadiens, and had several phone conversations with them.
- When Alex Tanguay was with the Habs, and the team was looking for a coach, Tanguay phoned Hartley (the two had been together in Colorado) to say that he'd appreciate if Bob came to Montreal, as he was the type of coach he needed.
- Hartley had a meeting scheduled with the Canadiens for "later this week," but phoned Marc Bergevin this morning to inform him he'd opted to take a deal with Calgary. Bergevin was quoted as wishing Hartley good luck, indicating that while they had spoken, he wasn't ready to name a coach just yet.
So from this, we can gather that Hartley was one of Bergevin's final candidates. It remains to be seen what he'll do now that Hartley is out of the running.
Hartley was considered a frontrunner for the Montreal job, though we may never know if GM Marc Bergevin opted for another candidate, or if it was Hartley who turned down the Canadiens interest to join the Flames. Many fake Twitter insiders took an educated guess that Hartley would be Bergevin's man, announcing it as fact over the internet during the past week, which should be a lesson to many in trusting certain sources. It seems Hockey Insider 101 has become make a pre-emptive announcement then hope it comes true so you can claim yourself an insider. If it doesn't, just say your sources were wrong or some parameter changed. Appears to be a great recipe for gaining followers, but not one this site or Twitter account will ever endorse.
With Hartley out of the equation (and reportedly Patrick Roy out of consideration as well), that leaves Guy Carbonneau, Michel Therrien, and Marc Crawford as the most widely-discussed Montreal coaching candidates. Other bilingual names mentioned include Martin Raymond and Benoit Groulx, though many hope an unheralded candidate ends up winning out, unimpressed by these names.
Bob McKenzie appears to believe it's down to Therrien and Crawford for the job:
UPDATES: A few tidbits from Hartley's press conference in Calgary this afternoon.
- Yes, he had met with the Canadiens, and had several phone conversations with them.
- When Alex Tanguay was with the Habs, and the team was looking for a coach, Tanguay phoned Hartley (the two had been together in Colorado) to say that he'd appreciate if Bob came to Montreal, as he was the type of coach he needed.
- Hartley had a meeting scheduled with the Canadiens for "later this week," but phoned Marc Bergevin this morning to inform him he'd opted to take a deal with Calgary. Bergevin was quoted as wishing Hartley good luck, indicating that while they had spoken, he wasn't ready to name a coach just yet.
So from this, we can gather that Hartley was one of Bergevin's final candidates. It remains to be seen what he'll do now that Hartley is out of the running.
Player Spotlight: P.K. Subban
If you're a Habs fan, you love him. If you're a fan of any other team, you think he's overrated and love to boo him every time he touches the puck in your building. But an objective hockey fan will tell you that Montreal's P.K. Subban is one of the league's more promising young blueliners. But you know about him on the ice. So today, we're going to focus on a few off-ice Subban stories you may be less familiar with.
It is no surprise to anyone that P.K. can be described as a character off the ice. It being NHL draft season, with the Central Scouting Combine taking place this whole week, a lot of attention has been placed on Subban's relationship with is brothers, given that Malcolm Subban is the top-rated North American netminder out of this year's crop. The next Subban in line is another blueliner, Jordan, who made his debut for the Belleville Bulls (meaning that, yes, all three Subbans have played for the OHL's Bulls) last season as a spry 16-year old. He impressively scored 20 points in 53 games a rookie, and is one many are following closely for the 2013 draft, deemed to perhaps be just as skilled as big brother P.K. What he doesn't have is P.K.'s size, measuring in at only 5'9" and 170 lbs as of now.
P.K. and his brothers were a big part of the George Stromboulopoulos show after last night's game 1 win by the Los Angeles Kings in the Stanley Cup Finals. Here's a clip of most of the Subbans segment if you missed it:
You can watch the full episode on the CBC website here: http://www.cbc.ca/strombo/videos.html?ID=2240969616
For those not on Twitter, P.K.'s personality also shone through a little teasing he did for his followers last week. He first posted the following:
It is no surprise to anyone that P.K. can be described as a character off the ice. It being NHL draft season, with the Central Scouting Combine taking place this whole week, a lot of attention has been placed on Subban's relationship with is brothers, given that Malcolm Subban is the top-rated North American netminder out of this year's crop. The next Subban in line is another blueliner, Jordan, who made his debut for the Belleville Bulls (meaning that, yes, all three Subbans have played for the OHL's Bulls) last season as a spry 16-year old. He impressively scored 20 points in 53 games a rookie, and is one many are following closely for the 2013 draft, deemed to perhaps be just as skilled as big brother P.K. What he doesn't have is P.K.'s size, measuring in at only 5'9" and 170 lbs as of now.
P.K. and his brothers were a big part of the George Stromboulopoulos show after last night's game 1 win by the Los Angeles Kings in the Stanley Cup Finals. Here's a clip of most of the Subbans segment if you missed it:
You can watch the full episode on the CBC website here: http://www.cbc.ca/strombo/videos.html?ID=2240969616
For those not on Twitter, P.K.'s personality also shone through a little teasing he did for his followers last week. He first posted the following:
Naturally, this had many Hab fans dreaming the announcement would be that the Restricted Free Agent has agreed to a new long-term deal with the Canadiens. The Twitter world was abuzz, and P.K. made them wait it out for nearly 24 hours before this announcement, done in a style only fitting of Mr. Subban himself:
So yes it was Subban who officially unveiled the new Twitter account of Carey Price - or apparently C-Prizzle / Carey Cash Prizzy to his friends - to the world. Still waiting on that contract announcement, P.K.!
For his antics, a lot of people around the web have referred to Subban as a "troll." This led to HFBoards user Seb creating a meme, creatively warped a photo of Subban by integrating the infamous troll face drawing to create this masterpiece, side by side with the troll face for comparison:
Pretty well done! But P.K. isn't ALL jokes and gags, so we leave you with one of his Nike AlwaysOn pieces that show the more intense side of the training-obsessed Subban that has gotten him to where he is today:
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Wednesday, May 30, 2012
Habs Sign Nathan Beaulieu to Entry-Level Deal
The Montreal Canadiens announced today the signing of defenseman Nathan Beaulieu to a 3-year entry-level contract. While it was a matter of time / a formality, since Beaulieu will certainly be making his pro debut in the Fall rather than returning to the QMJHL as an overager, the signing is notable as he becomes the first player given a deal by new GM Marc Bergevin. Official release: http://canadiens.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=633263
Beaulieu, Montreal's first round selection last June, had an up-and-down year, but one full of good experiences. His Saint John Sea Dogs won the QMJHL championship for a second year in a row, and thus returned to the Memorial Cup, where they were unable to repeat as winners, falling in the semi-final to host Shawinigan. Beaulieu also got to represent Team Canada at this past winter's World Junior Championship, though he spent much of his time as a powerplay specialist / 7th defenseman.
Beaulieu will join the Hamilton Bulldogs in the Fall as part of a strong in-coming class of rookie pros that includes Jarred Tinordi, Morgan Ellis, Michael Bournival, Brendan Gallagher, Patrick Holland, and Greg Pateryn, all already under contract with the team. Fans should temper their expectations in his regard, as while he has good size, amazing skating ability, slick passing, and good offensive instincts, he still has a lot to work out in his game, notably in his own end and in maturity. But he has time. He'll be one of the youngest players in the AHL when the season begins at age 19, eligible to play because of his December birthday.
Congrats Nathan! Feel free to send him your best wishes via Twitter, @n8theggr8.
Beaulieu, Montreal's first round selection last June, had an up-and-down year, but one full of good experiences. His Saint John Sea Dogs won the QMJHL championship for a second year in a row, and thus returned to the Memorial Cup, where they were unable to repeat as winners, falling in the semi-final to host Shawinigan. Beaulieu also got to represent Team Canada at this past winter's World Junior Championship, though he spent much of his time as a powerplay specialist / 7th defenseman.
Beaulieu will join the Hamilton Bulldogs in the Fall as part of a strong in-coming class of rookie pros that includes Jarred Tinordi, Morgan Ellis, Michael Bournival, Brendan Gallagher, Patrick Holland, and Greg Pateryn, all already under contract with the team. Fans should temper their expectations in his regard, as while he has good size, amazing skating ability, slick passing, and good offensive instincts, he still has a lot to work out in his game, notably in his own end and in maturity. But he has time. He'll be one of the youngest players in the AHL when the season begins at age 19, eligible to play because of his December birthday.
Congrats Nathan! Feel free to send him your best wishes via Twitter, @n8theggr8.
Restocking the Cupboard #2: Movin' on Down
[This is the second of a five-part series, going live every Wednesday on http://www.YourCanadiens.Info/, previewing possible Hab selections for the 2012 Entry Draft. See Part 1, about who the team might pick if they hold steady at #3, HERE]
Last week, we discussed the four possible candidates for the Canadiens' first draft choice if they are to remain at 3rd overall come June 22nd. But as I went over, none of them are without their issues, and even at that, whichever of the four that the Columbus Blue Jackets sees as the best for them won't be available by pick three, leaving the Habs to take the best of the rest. This year's draft has more questions than answers. So let's say that, for all the reasons specified, Trevor Timmins, Marc Bergevin, and co aren't convinced that the players who will be available at, say, pick 6-10, project with less certainty or less potential than those available at #3. What happens then?
Yes, the team could still keep the pick, as at 3rd, they can go with "their guy" out of a greater number of available prospects. But it's also possible that "their guy" isn't one of Mikhail Grigorenko, Filip Forsberg, Alex Galchenyuk, or Ryan Murray. In this case, rather than just go off the board with a lower-ranked name, the team could trade down, swapping with a club that holds a pick later in the first round in order to collect other assets (like say an additional 2nd round choice). While there are other options (trading up or trading the pick outright), today we'll look at where the team could trade down to, and who they might fancy at that slot.
The order of the first 28 picks of the draft have been locked in, and they are as follows:
1. Edmonton Oilers
2. Columbus Blue Jackets
3. Montreal Canadiens
4. New York Islanders
5. Toronto Maple Leafs
6. Anaheim Ducks
7. Minnesota Wild
8. Carolina Hurricanes
9. Winnipeg Jets
10. Tampa Bay Lightning
11. Washington Capitals (from Colorado Avalanche)
12. Buffalo Sabres
13. Dallas Stars
14. Calgary Flames
15. Ottawa Senators
16. Washington Capitals
17. San Jose Sharks
18. Chicago Blackhawks
19. Tampa Bay Lightning (from Detroit Red Wings)
20. Philadelphia Flyers
21. Buffalo Sabres (from Nashville Predators)
22. Pittsburgh Penguins
23. Florida Panthers
24. Boston Bruins
25. St. Louis Blues
26. Vancouver Canucks
27. Phoenix Coyotes
28. New York Rangers
Might the third overall choice be worth Tampa Bay's 10th and 19th? Washington's 11th and 16th? Buffalo's 12th and 21st? Perhaps the Canadiens want to stay a little higher up than that, but could poach picks 6 and 36 from Anaheim or 8 and 38 from Carolina (Minnesota doesn't have its own 2nd round selection). For this exercise, let's focus on the 6-12 range and some of the names that might interest the Habs. The good news is, there is very likely to be a run on defensemen early on in the draft, since they make up a big part of the top rated prospect group. So by trading down, the Canadiens should still be able to snag one of the top prospects at forward, an area where they have the far greater need.
If the team does opt for such a strategy, here's a look at five forwards and three d-men to consider with a later pick.
Radek Faksa - C - Kitchener Rangers, OHL
6'3", 202 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 7th (North America); Future Considerations - 13th; The Hockey News - 11th
Faksa is a native of the Czech Republic who made the jump to the CHL this season after several years in Czech junior leagues. Scoring 29 goals and 67 points in 62 games for Kitchener had him finish as runner-up to young phenom Aaron Ekblad for the Ontario League's Rookie of the Year. In tournament play, Faksa scored 2 goals in 6 games for Team Czech Republic at this year's World Juniors (where he was the youngest player on his team) after a disappointing U18 a year ago had him pointless in 6 contests. His production in these small-sample events dipped in the OHL playoffs as well, where he netted only 6 points in 13 games. Those numbers may have been hurt by a head injury suffered in March, causing him to miss some playoff action, and potentially scaring a few teams that have or had interest in him who must now worry about concussions.
So what's to like? If the Canadiens weren't drafting as high as they are, most fans would be clamouring to find a way to land Faksa. A big and strong center, Faksa offers the kind of complete package scouts dream of: size, skill, good skating ability, and a willingness to backcheck hard. He is built in the mold of a power forward and has success winning battles in the offensive zone, which is more his game rather than one of finesse. His frame and reach make him difficult to contain for opposing defenders, which means as he fills out further he could become a dominating offensive presence.
Concerns about Faksa's play are relatively minor and can mostly be attributed to it being his first year in North America. He started the season a little slow, normal for a player adjusting to a new country and league, but then picked it up, earning ice time and becoming one of Kitchener's top players. However, later on in the year, whether it was a lack of endurance and conditioning in his own game or just struggling to deal with other teams keying on him more, he was less noticeable, which has kept him out of the top 10 in final rankings.
Definitely a top candidate for the Canadiens if they choose to move down, for the same reason the tools brought by Alex Galchenyuk and Mikhail Grigorenko make them likely picks for the team at #3.
Teuvo Teravainen - RW - Jokerit, Finland
5'11", 165 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 2nd (Europe); Future Considerations - 8th; The Hockey News - 12th
The first thing you'll undoubtedly notice is the size issue; right away something that means Teravainen might not be an ideal choice for a team wanting to get bigger like Montreal. But it's hard to ignore the elite level of skill and creativity Teravainen displays on ice, which makes him a dangerous threat who scored 11 goals and 18 points in 40 games in Finland's men's league this past season. He was dominant against peers his own age, notching 12 goals and 20 points in just 11 junior league games, and adding 2 goals and 8 points in 6 games in this year's World U18.
His shiftiness with the puck is the skill that stands out the most, just as competent a scorer as he is a playmaker. He isn't a dangler, but his vision and quick hands allow him to create room in the offensive zone. He has quick feet, though isn't one to blow people away with his speed, which is a potential issue given that smaller players often need elite quickness to compensate for their lack of size.
This is basically what it comes down to with Teravainen: on the one hand, he has the ability to control a game, to patiently slow it down and create chances with the puck that always seems to find itself on his stick (all abilities scouts looking for in judging a player's upside), but on the other, adding strength to his frame is a real concern. 5'11" isn't "too small" for the NHL, but Teravainen is skinny, which makes battling along the boards and protecting the puck concerns for his future. Ultimately scouts will have to determine if his huge offensive upside outweighs the concerns, and most seem to think it does, with McKeen's even ranking him in their final top five. For these reasons, despite the team's need to get bigger, he becomes an option for the Canadiens whose biggest need is a top-flight superstar.
Brendan Gaunce - C - Belleville Bulls, OHL
6'2", 215 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 13th (North America); Future Considerations - 18th; The Hockey News - 17th
Does Gaunce have enough upside to satisfy Hab fans in a year where the team starts off at third overall? He did score 28 goals and 68 points in 68 games this season for Belleville, but how will that project in the long run? These are the kind of questions scouts will have to consider if trading down for him is an option.
If Montreal were drafting 17th overall as they did a year ago, then Gaunce might be a perfect fit as a 6'2" center already possessing a thick enough frame to compete against men. His big body lets him play a power and puck protection game, while also being an adept puck handler. He possesses the leadership traits and intangibles that the Canadiens have historically loved to draft, and plays a good two-way game, reliable defensively, also a trademark of a Trevor Timmins pick.
While Gaunce sounds like an ideal center to build a team around, he isn't without fault. Most notably, scouts are concerned about his skating, lacking both in top-flight speed and first-step quickness. While he is a reasonable finisher, there are also concerns as to whether his offense will translate to the professional ranks. Finally, while he is capable of being a physical, dominant player, there are times where the has lacked a bit of that intensity, so consistency is something he'll also need to work into his game. This has polarized many scouts as to his future, some seeing him as a top 10 prospect from this draft class, filling out to be a top 6 power forward, while others see him as a later safe pick, projecting as a two-way third liner. Based on this evaluation, it wouldn't be unfair to compare him to a Kyle Chipchura pre-draft, though Chipchura's development after being selected was largely derailed by injuries. And just because Chipchura didn't pan out as Montreal had hoped, doesn't mean Gaunce will follow the same trajectory should he land with the Canadiens.
Zemgus Girgensons - C - Dubuque Fighting Saints, USHL
6'1.5", 200 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 18th (North America); Future Considerations - 19th; The Hockey News - 16th
There are a lot of similarities between Girgensons and Radek Faksa, also included on this list. Future Considerations has Faksa 6 slots ahead of Girgensons, while McKeen's has Girgensons one spot ahead of Faksa. Both are big European centers - Girgensons being Latvia - who came over to play hockey in North America prior to their draft year. Girgensons has already been on this side of the ocean for three seasons, most recently playing the last two years with Dubuque of the USHL. If you're hearing a lot about Dubuque lately, that is because there is a tie to recently hired Canadiens scout Bobby Kinsella, who served as Director of Scouting and Assistant Coach for the club for the past two years, meaning he has one of the better informed opinions of Girgensons of anyone out there.
Girgenson's 44 points in 43 games last season were a modest improvement from his 49 points in 51 contests the year prior, which has some scouts worried about his offensive upside. He can play a physical power game, producing 2 goals at this year's World Juniors on a weak Latvian squad, and has the type of build that fast-tracks youngsters to the big league. The question will be what role he can fill once he gets there. While a natural center, many feel he lacks the skill set to project in that position long-term, with puck distribution not at the top of his list of skills, making some question his hockey sense. His skating - while powerful and not a huge weakness - is also a bit of a concern, lacking a top gear.
Still, there is no doubting Girgensons's intensity and aggressiveness, which makes him a very safe prospect even if he ends up being limited to a third line role. If Kinsella's recommendation comes in strong enough - and it likely will given that he served as Dubuque's captain this season - it is possible that the club works hard to nab Girgensons. If it's not a trade down, maybe Girgensons's Latvian origin has him slip a little, and the club tries to trade up from pick 33 to select him late in the first round.
Sebastian Collberg - RW - Frolunda Jr. - Sweden
5'11", 175 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 3rd (Europe); Future Considerations - 12th; The Hockey News - 14th
Like Teravainen, Collberg lacks the size Hab fans are dreaming of, but the winger packs a punch offensively. Whereas Filip Forsberg was held to just a single assist in six World Junior Championship games this season, Collberg finished second on the squad with seven points, including four goals. He was also dominant offensively in the World U18 tournament, where as one of Sweden's assistant captains, he scored 4 goals and 9 points in 6 games, but was also criticized for looking fatigued an umotivated at times after a long season. Like Forsberg, Collberg spent much of the season playing against men in the Swedish Elite League, though he got very little ice time with Frolunda, held off the scoresheet in 41 games. He spent 21 games with the team's junior club, registering 9 goals and 17 points in that span.
As a player, Collberg's quick and accurate release is probably his best attribute. He's a great skater, and despite his size, doesn't shy away from traffic areas on the ice. His defensive game is quite well-rounded with a solid work ethic making him a tough back checker, typical of many players coming out of Sweden and Finland the last several years. Still, the lack of strength on his frame is concerning, limiting his effectiveness against bigger defenders, so it's something he'll need to work on if he is to produce at the North American professional level. A final concern is his development if he remains in Sweden, as Frolunda can be tough on its younger players. In addition to a lack of ice time, playing on a fourth unit, Collberg's game became one of puck retrieval, chip, and chase, limiting him from using his strengths in the attacking zone.
His style has drawn comparisons to the likes of Phil Kessel and Jeff Skinner, but if the Canadiens do decide that trading down for Collberg is what they're after, they might be wise to get him to join a CHL club for next year to continue his progression. He may be on Trevor Timmins's radar, as when talking about top prospects for the upcoming draft, rather than single out Forsberg, Timmins alluded to, "the Swedes."
Mathew Dumba - D - Red Deer Rebels, WHL
5'11.5", 180 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 11th (North America); Future Considerations - 10th; The Hockey News - 5th
The first of three blueliners on the list, Dumba is the smallest, which has undoubtedly hurt his pre-draft rankings. However, he plays a lot bigger than the size he's listed at, which is both a compliment and a concern, causing some to fear for his longevity in the big league and his ability to handle his own in a men's league if his style doesn't translate against larger opponents. His rankings are a little all over the place, with both McKeen's and The Hockey News having him as the #2 defenseman in the draft after Ryan Murray, while Future Considerations has four blueliners ahead of him.
So other than being a more physical player than he was built to be, what makes Dumba a top prospect? He's got a well-rounded game, with vision that allows for great breakout passes, a heavy shot, and soft hands that help him make quick plays. He possesses good leadership skills, rebounding after taking an early cut from Team Canada WJC camp very hard by captaining the country's World U18 team and producing a phenomenal 5 goals and 12 points in just 7 games to lead the club by a fair margin. In Red Deer, he more than doubled his production from a year ago, scoring 57 points in 69 games to rank sixth among WHL rearguards.
Other than size, the only other real concern about Dumba is his consistency, as he can go through spells where he is less involved physically, and is caught watching the play, or being reactive rather than using the hockey intelligence he is blessed with. But he is blessed with talent, and the rest (other than size) will mostly be worked out through coaching and maturity, so if Montreal wants to add a dynamic player - the kind who might have as good or better a career than anyone available at pick 3 - while picking up an additional selection, Dumba could be on their list. He just might be my favourite d-man in the draft due to the exciting game he plays. And as I've said before, I don't believe that the other top 10 blueliners are all that far behind Murray.
Griffin Reinhart - D - Edmonton Oil Kings, WHL
6'4", 205 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 10th (North America); Future Considerations - 7th; The Hockey News - 8th
Reinhart is a consensus top 10 selection in the coming draft, blessed with the body that would make a guy like Dumba a contender for first overall this year. Reinhart has hockey bloodlines - his father Paul is a former NHL d-man - which we know Trevor Timmins enjoys, and got added experience this year as his Edmonton Oil Kings won the WHL title and most recently competed in the Memorial Cup.
Reinhart may have the frame, but he doesn't play a physical, punishing game. He is a two-way blueliner, less flashy than Dumba, having scored 12 goals and 36 points in 58 games this season, but makes up for what he lacks in toughness by playing a positionally sound coverage game in his own end. He is strong, and even dropped the gloves on three occasions this season, but many would like to see him use his size to throw hits on a more regular basis rather than just relying on his long reach. His skating is unique, often the case with young players who are adapting to their bodies, and while it shouldn't hold him back significantly, is an area he can strive to improve.
Perhaps the biggest positive with regards to Reinhart is that he improved significantly as the season went on. Players at this age are still developing as athletes, and it is a scout's job to project where they may be years in the future, thus to see a good learning curve is encouraging for what that future may hold. As he gets increasingly comfortable in his role as a top pairing blueliner over time, we may see some of that toughness creep into his game with more consistency, which could make him an addition to a stacked Montreal back end some years from now.
Jacob Trouba - D - USNTDP, USHL
6'2", 195 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 9th (North America); Future Considerations - 6th; The Hockey News - 9th
Future Considerations likes Trouba ahead of Reinhart, while both The Hockey News and McKeen's have him a little behind. A little smaller than Reinhart, Trouba also plays an all-around two-way game. However, where Reinhart can shy away from physical play and needs to work on his skating, both are core elements to Trouba's game. Between his size, quickness, and toughness, he is difficult to beat in his own end, but he also possessed a hard point shot, which allowed him to score 18 points in 22 USHL games with the U18 team this season. He was so good, in fact, that he made the American team for the World Juniors, contributing 2 assists in 6 games, and was later named an assistant captain for the World U18 squad, where he added a goal and 3 points in 6 more contests.
There is little at fault in Trouba's game, which the Canadiens might like when the players at the top of the draft all come with warning labels. Critics sometimes worry about his puck-handling, which has many questioning whether his offensive skills can translate to the next level, but if he won't be a puck-rusher, his shot should mean it won't handicap him too badly. He is a true competitor, but there are still some questions about consistency, though it is hard to gauge a player off such a small sample size with the US National Team Development Program. He is expected to continue his development with either the University of Michigan or the Kitchener Rangers.
Now, if on draft day, prior to pick #3, we hear Gary Bettman utter those highly anticipated words, "We have a trade to announce," you have an idea of who it might be that the Canadiens are really looking to select. Of this list, given the organization's needs, I'd be happy adding a Faksa or Girgensons.
However, truth be told, I'm not particularly in favour of the trade down option this year, even with a draft full of uncertainties and the need to bolster a thin prospect pool in Montreal. It hopefully won't be often that the Canadiens get to speak so early on in an entry draft, and this gives them the opportunity to add a superstar-calibre player. Sure, I'd be open to listening to offers for the pick, particularly if somehow Nail Yakupov and Alex Galchenyuk both go in the two spots before the Canadiens. But in the end, I'd say draft your Galchenyuk or Mikhail Grigorenko and then hope for the best; all of the above players will make fine NHL'ers, but that's not the need. Come June, a new star must be born to rise Hab fans out of their seats once again.
Next week, we'll look at the possibilities of trading up to nab Nail Yakupov with the first overall selection, or potentially trading the third overall pick away altogether. The week following, we'll look at possible candidates for all of the rest of Montreal's picks in the draft.
Last week, we discussed the four possible candidates for the Canadiens' first draft choice if they are to remain at 3rd overall come June 22nd. But as I went over, none of them are without their issues, and even at that, whichever of the four that the Columbus Blue Jackets sees as the best for them won't be available by pick three, leaving the Habs to take the best of the rest. This year's draft has more questions than answers. So let's say that, for all the reasons specified, Trevor Timmins, Marc Bergevin, and co aren't convinced that the players who will be available at, say, pick 6-10, project with less certainty or less potential than those available at #3. What happens then?
Yes, the team could still keep the pick, as at 3rd, they can go with "their guy" out of a greater number of available prospects. But it's also possible that "their guy" isn't one of Mikhail Grigorenko, Filip Forsberg, Alex Galchenyuk, or Ryan Murray. In this case, rather than just go off the board with a lower-ranked name, the team could trade down, swapping with a club that holds a pick later in the first round in order to collect other assets (like say an additional 2nd round choice). While there are other options (trading up or trading the pick outright), today we'll look at where the team could trade down to, and who they might fancy at that slot.
The order of the first 28 picks of the draft have been locked in, and they are as follows:
1. Edmonton Oilers
2. Columbus Blue Jackets
3. Montreal Canadiens
4. New York Islanders
5. Toronto Maple Leafs
6. Anaheim Ducks
7. Minnesota Wild
8. Carolina Hurricanes
9. Winnipeg Jets
10. Tampa Bay Lightning
11. Washington Capitals (from Colorado Avalanche)
12. Buffalo Sabres
13. Dallas Stars
14. Calgary Flames
15. Ottawa Senators
16. Washington Capitals
17. San Jose Sharks
18. Chicago Blackhawks
19. Tampa Bay Lightning (from Detroit Red Wings)
20. Philadelphia Flyers
21. Buffalo Sabres (from Nashville Predators)
22. Pittsburgh Penguins
23. Florida Panthers
24. Boston Bruins
25. St. Louis Blues
26. Vancouver Canucks
27. Phoenix Coyotes
28. New York Rangers
Might the third overall choice be worth Tampa Bay's 10th and 19th? Washington's 11th and 16th? Buffalo's 12th and 21st? Perhaps the Canadiens want to stay a little higher up than that, but could poach picks 6 and 36 from Anaheim or 8 and 38 from Carolina (Minnesota doesn't have its own 2nd round selection). For this exercise, let's focus on the 6-12 range and some of the names that might interest the Habs. The good news is, there is very likely to be a run on defensemen early on in the draft, since they make up a big part of the top rated prospect group. So by trading down, the Canadiens should still be able to snag one of the top prospects at forward, an area where they have the far greater need.
If the team does opt for such a strategy, here's a look at five forwards and three d-men to consider with a later pick.
Radek Faksa - C - Kitchener Rangers, OHL
6'3", 202 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 7th (North America); Future Considerations - 13th; The Hockey News - 11th
Faksa is a native of the Czech Republic who made the jump to the CHL this season after several years in Czech junior leagues. Scoring 29 goals and 67 points in 62 games for Kitchener had him finish as runner-up to young phenom Aaron Ekblad for the Ontario League's Rookie of the Year. In tournament play, Faksa scored 2 goals in 6 games for Team Czech Republic at this year's World Juniors (where he was the youngest player on his team) after a disappointing U18 a year ago had him pointless in 6 contests. His production in these small-sample events dipped in the OHL playoffs as well, where he netted only 6 points in 13 games. Those numbers may have been hurt by a head injury suffered in March, causing him to miss some playoff action, and potentially scaring a few teams that have or had interest in him who must now worry about concussions.
So what's to like? If the Canadiens weren't drafting as high as they are, most fans would be clamouring to find a way to land Faksa. A big and strong center, Faksa offers the kind of complete package scouts dream of: size, skill, good skating ability, and a willingness to backcheck hard. He is built in the mold of a power forward and has success winning battles in the offensive zone, which is more his game rather than one of finesse. His frame and reach make him difficult to contain for opposing defenders, which means as he fills out further he could become a dominating offensive presence.
Concerns about Faksa's play are relatively minor and can mostly be attributed to it being his first year in North America. He started the season a little slow, normal for a player adjusting to a new country and league, but then picked it up, earning ice time and becoming one of Kitchener's top players. However, later on in the year, whether it was a lack of endurance and conditioning in his own game or just struggling to deal with other teams keying on him more, he was less noticeable, which has kept him out of the top 10 in final rankings.
Definitely a top candidate for the Canadiens if they choose to move down, for the same reason the tools brought by Alex Galchenyuk and Mikhail Grigorenko make them likely picks for the team at #3.
Teuvo Teravainen - RW - Jokerit, Finland
5'11", 165 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 2nd (Europe); Future Considerations - 8th; The Hockey News - 12th
The first thing you'll undoubtedly notice is the size issue; right away something that means Teravainen might not be an ideal choice for a team wanting to get bigger like Montreal. But it's hard to ignore the elite level of skill and creativity Teravainen displays on ice, which makes him a dangerous threat who scored 11 goals and 18 points in 40 games in Finland's men's league this past season. He was dominant against peers his own age, notching 12 goals and 20 points in just 11 junior league games, and adding 2 goals and 8 points in 6 games in this year's World U18.
His shiftiness with the puck is the skill that stands out the most, just as competent a scorer as he is a playmaker. He isn't a dangler, but his vision and quick hands allow him to create room in the offensive zone. He has quick feet, though isn't one to blow people away with his speed, which is a potential issue given that smaller players often need elite quickness to compensate for their lack of size.
This is basically what it comes down to with Teravainen: on the one hand, he has the ability to control a game, to patiently slow it down and create chances with the puck that always seems to find itself on his stick (all abilities scouts looking for in judging a player's upside), but on the other, adding strength to his frame is a real concern. 5'11" isn't "too small" for the NHL, but Teravainen is skinny, which makes battling along the boards and protecting the puck concerns for his future. Ultimately scouts will have to determine if his huge offensive upside outweighs the concerns, and most seem to think it does, with McKeen's even ranking him in their final top five. For these reasons, despite the team's need to get bigger, he becomes an option for the Canadiens whose biggest need is a top-flight superstar.
Brendan Gaunce - C - Belleville Bulls, OHL
6'2", 215 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 13th (North America); Future Considerations - 18th; The Hockey News - 17th
Does Gaunce have enough upside to satisfy Hab fans in a year where the team starts off at third overall? He did score 28 goals and 68 points in 68 games this season for Belleville, but how will that project in the long run? These are the kind of questions scouts will have to consider if trading down for him is an option.
If Montreal were drafting 17th overall as they did a year ago, then Gaunce might be a perfect fit as a 6'2" center already possessing a thick enough frame to compete against men. His big body lets him play a power and puck protection game, while also being an adept puck handler. He possesses the leadership traits and intangibles that the Canadiens have historically loved to draft, and plays a good two-way game, reliable defensively, also a trademark of a Trevor Timmins pick.
While Gaunce sounds like an ideal center to build a team around, he isn't without fault. Most notably, scouts are concerned about his skating, lacking both in top-flight speed and first-step quickness. While he is a reasonable finisher, there are also concerns as to whether his offense will translate to the professional ranks. Finally, while he is capable of being a physical, dominant player, there are times where the has lacked a bit of that intensity, so consistency is something he'll also need to work into his game. This has polarized many scouts as to his future, some seeing him as a top 10 prospect from this draft class, filling out to be a top 6 power forward, while others see him as a later safe pick, projecting as a two-way third liner. Based on this evaluation, it wouldn't be unfair to compare him to a Kyle Chipchura pre-draft, though Chipchura's development after being selected was largely derailed by injuries. And just because Chipchura didn't pan out as Montreal had hoped, doesn't mean Gaunce will follow the same trajectory should he land with the Canadiens.
Zemgus Girgensons - C - Dubuque Fighting Saints, USHL
6'1.5", 200 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 18th (North America); Future Considerations - 19th; The Hockey News - 16th
There are a lot of similarities between Girgensons and Radek Faksa, also included on this list. Future Considerations has Faksa 6 slots ahead of Girgensons, while McKeen's has Girgensons one spot ahead of Faksa. Both are big European centers - Girgensons being Latvia - who came over to play hockey in North America prior to their draft year. Girgensons has already been on this side of the ocean for three seasons, most recently playing the last two years with Dubuque of the USHL. If you're hearing a lot about Dubuque lately, that is because there is a tie to recently hired Canadiens scout Bobby Kinsella, who served as Director of Scouting and Assistant Coach for the club for the past two years, meaning he has one of the better informed opinions of Girgensons of anyone out there.
Girgenson's 44 points in 43 games last season were a modest improvement from his 49 points in 51 contests the year prior, which has some scouts worried about his offensive upside. He can play a physical power game, producing 2 goals at this year's World Juniors on a weak Latvian squad, and has the type of build that fast-tracks youngsters to the big league. The question will be what role he can fill once he gets there. While a natural center, many feel he lacks the skill set to project in that position long-term, with puck distribution not at the top of his list of skills, making some question his hockey sense. His skating - while powerful and not a huge weakness - is also a bit of a concern, lacking a top gear.
Still, there is no doubting Girgensons's intensity and aggressiveness, which makes him a very safe prospect even if he ends up being limited to a third line role. If Kinsella's recommendation comes in strong enough - and it likely will given that he served as Dubuque's captain this season - it is possible that the club works hard to nab Girgensons. If it's not a trade down, maybe Girgensons's Latvian origin has him slip a little, and the club tries to trade up from pick 33 to select him late in the first round.
Sebastian Collberg - RW - Frolunda Jr. - Sweden
5'11", 175 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 3rd (Europe); Future Considerations - 12th; The Hockey News - 14th
Like Teravainen, Collberg lacks the size Hab fans are dreaming of, but the winger packs a punch offensively. Whereas Filip Forsberg was held to just a single assist in six World Junior Championship games this season, Collberg finished second on the squad with seven points, including four goals. He was also dominant offensively in the World U18 tournament, where as one of Sweden's assistant captains, he scored 4 goals and 9 points in 6 games, but was also criticized for looking fatigued an umotivated at times after a long season. Like Forsberg, Collberg spent much of the season playing against men in the Swedish Elite League, though he got very little ice time with Frolunda, held off the scoresheet in 41 games. He spent 21 games with the team's junior club, registering 9 goals and 17 points in that span.
As a player, Collberg's quick and accurate release is probably his best attribute. He's a great skater, and despite his size, doesn't shy away from traffic areas on the ice. His defensive game is quite well-rounded with a solid work ethic making him a tough back checker, typical of many players coming out of Sweden and Finland the last several years. Still, the lack of strength on his frame is concerning, limiting his effectiveness against bigger defenders, so it's something he'll need to work on if he is to produce at the North American professional level. A final concern is his development if he remains in Sweden, as Frolunda can be tough on its younger players. In addition to a lack of ice time, playing on a fourth unit, Collberg's game became one of puck retrieval, chip, and chase, limiting him from using his strengths in the attacking zone.
His style has drawn comparisons to the likes of Phil Kessel and Jeff Skinner, but if the Canadiens do decide that trading down for Collberg is what they're after, they might be wise to get him to join a CHL club for next year to continue his progression. He may be on Trevor Timmins's radar, as when talking about top prospects for the upcoming draft, rather than single out Forsberg, Timmins alluded to, "the Swedes."
Mathew Dumba - D - Red Deer Rebels, WHL
5'11.5", 180 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 11th (North America); Future Considerations - 10th; The Hockey News - 5th
The first of three blueliners on the list, Dumba is the smallest, which has undoubtedly hurt his pre-draft rankings. However, he plays a lot bigger than the size he's listed at, which is both a compliment and a concern, causing some to fear for his longevity in the big league and his ability to handle his own in a men's league if his style doesn't translate against larger opponents. His rankings are a little all over the place, with both McKeen's and The Hockey News having him as the #2 defenseman in the draft after Ryan Murray, while Future Considerations has four blueliners ahead of him.
So other than being a more physical player than he was built to be, what makes Dumba a top prospect? He's got a well-rounded game, with vision that allows for great breakout passes, a heavy shot, and soft hands that help him make quick plays. He possesses good leadership skills, rebounding after taking an early cut from Team Canada WJC camp very hard by captaining the country's World U18 team and producing a phenomenal 5 goals and 12 points in just 7 games to lead the club by a fair margin. In Red Deer, he more than doubled his production from a year ago, scoring 57 points in 69 games to rank sixth among WHL rearguards.
Other than size, the only other real concern about Dumba is his consistency, as he can go through spells where he is less involved physically, and is caught watching the play, or being reactive rather than using the hockey intelligence he is blessed with. But he is blessed with talent, and the rest (other than size) will mostly be worked out through coaching and maturity, so if Montreal wants to add a dynamic player - the kind who might have as good or better a career than anyone available at pick 3 - while picking up an additional selection, Dumba could be on their list. He just might be my favourite d-man in the draft due to the exciting game he plays. And as I've said before, I don't believe that the other top 10 blueliners are all that far behind Murray.
Griffin Reinhart - D - Edmonton Oil Kings, WHL
6'4", 205 lbs - Shoots L
Rankings: Central Scouting - 10th (North America); Future Considerations - 7th; The Hockey News - 8th
Reinhart is a consensus top 10 selection in the coming draft, blessed with the body that would make a guy like Dumba a contender for first overall this year. Reinhart has hockey bloodlines - his father Paul is a former NHL d-man - which we know Trevor Timmins enjoys, and got added experience this year as his Edmonton Oil Kings won the WHL title and most recently competed in the Memorial Cup.
Reinhart may have the frame, but he doesn't play a physical, punishing game. He is a two-way blueliner, less flashy than Dumba, having scored 12 goals and 36 points in 58 games this season, but makes up for what he lacks in toughness by playing a positionally sound coverage game in his own end. He is strong, and even dropped the gloves on three occasions this season, but many would like to see him use his size to throw hits on a more regular basis rather than just relying on his long reach. His skating is unique, often the case with young players who are adapting to their bodies, and while it shouldn't hold him back significantly, is an area he can strive to improve.
Perhaps the biggest positive with regards to Reinhart is that he improved significantly as the season went on. Players at this age are still developing as athletes, and it is a scout's job to project where they may be years in the future, thus to see a good learning curve is encouraging for what that future may hold. As he gets increasingly comfortable in his role as a top pairing blueliner over time, we may see some of that toughness creep into his game with more consistency, which could make him an addition to a stacked Montreal back end some years from now.
Jacob Trouba - D - USNTDP, USHL
6'2", 195 lbs - Shoots R
Rankings: Central Scouting - 9th (North America); Future Considerations - 6th; The Hockey News - 9th
Future Considerations likes Trouba ahead of Reinhart, while both The Hockey News and McKeen's have him a little behind. A little smaller than Reinhart, Trouba also plays an all-around two-way game. However, where Reinhart can shy away from physical play and needs to work on his skating, both are core elements to Trouba's game. Between his size, quickness, and toughness, he is difficult to beat in his own end, but he also possessed a hard point shot, which allowed him to score 18 points in 22 USHL games with the U18 team this season. He was so good, in fact, that he made the American team for the World Juniors, contributing 2 assists in 6 games, and was later named an assistant captain for the World U18 squad, where he added a goal and 3 points in 6 more contests.
There is little at fault in Trouba's game, which the Canadiens might like when the players at the top of the draft all come with warning labels. Critics sometimes worry about his puck-handling, which has many questioning whether his offensive skills can translate to the next level, but if he won't be a puck-rusher, his shot should mean it won't handicap him too badly. He is a true competitor, but there are still some questions about consistency, though it is hard to gauge a player off such a small sample size with the US National Team Development Program. He is expected to continue his development with either the University of Michigan or the Kitchener Rangers.
Now, if on draft day, prior to pick #3, we hear Gary Bettman utter those highly anticipated words, "We have a trade to announce," you have an idea of who it might be that the Canadiens are really looking to select. Of this list, given the organization's needs, I'd be happy adding a Faksa or Girgensons.
However, truth be told, I'm not particularly in favour of the trade down option this year, even with a draft full of uncertainties and the need to bolster a thin prospect pool in Montreal. It hopefully won't be often that the Canadiens get to speak so early on in an entry draft, and this gives them the opportunity to add a superstar-calibre player. Sure, I'd be open to listening to offers for the pick, particularly if somehow Nail Yakupov and Alex Galchenyuk both go in the two spots before the Canadiens. But in the end, I'd say draft your Galchenyuk or Mikhail Grigorenko and then hope for the best; all of the above players will make fine NHL'ers, but that's not the need. Come June, a new star must be born to rise Hab fans out of their seats once again.
Next week, we'll look at the possibilities of trading up to nab Nail Yakupov with the first overall selection, or potentially trading the third overall pick away altogether. The week following, we'll look at possible candidates for all of the rest of Montreal's picks in the draft.
Labels:
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Tuesday, May 29, 2012
9 Hab Draft Hits & 4 Hab Misses
With Habs GM Marc Beregevin in Toronto today to take in part of the NHL's Central Scouting Combine, where today NHL clubs get a chance to hold one-on-one interviews with some of next month's top prospects, it seems like a good day to talk about drafting. Our series of articles, "Restocking the Cupboard," about who the team should take this year will resume tomorrow, but today, to paraphrase Pitbull, to understand the future, we gotta go back in time.
It's been well-documented that Montreal has a great overall drafting record - one of the best in the league - over the last 10 or so years. While first rounds have been hit or miss, Trevor Timmins and co have an uncanny ability to pluck gems out of drafts' later rounds. So today will look at the last 5 years and go over some hits or misses by the team which will show both how much of an impact every selection can have on an organization moving forward, and why we should have faith in the men in charge in Montreal.
But when I say the last 5 years... It's still far too early to judge the class of 2011. It's even too early to judge the class of 2010, though Morgan Ellis and Brendan Gallagher are looking like more mid-round steals for the Canadiens. And while for some teams it might be an ok time to look at 2009, there are still too many questions around the players Montreal took to properly assess it. So our five year span will instead cover the drafts between 2004 and 2008.
HITS
9) Matt D'Agostini - Round 6, 190th Overall, 2005
D'Agostini got off to an explosive goal-scoring start in Montreal as a rookie, but failed to earn ice time during a sophomore slump. Ultimately, this led to his being shipped off to St. Louis for Aaron Palushaj, and while D'Ags is far from a household name with an uncertain future, he already has a 20-goal and 40-point season under his belt. Not bad for the 6th round.
Similar OHL players other teams took ahead of him:
Chris Lawrence, Tampa Bay Lightning, Round 3, 89th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Dan Collins, Florida Panthers, Round 3, 90th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Bobby Bolt, Anaheim Ducks, Round 5, 127th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Josh Beaulieu, Philadelphia Flyers, Round 5, 152nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
8) Alexei Emelin - Round 3, 84th Overall, 2004
The hard-hitting Emelin finally made his much-anticipated NHL debut this season and was worth the wait. He looks to be a fixture on Montreal's back end for a long time to come.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Johan Fransson, Dallas Stars, Round 2, 34th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Kirill Lyamin, Ottawa Senators, Round 2, 58th Overall - 0 NHL GP
7) Ryan McDonagh - Round 1, 12th Overall, 2007
As hard as it has been for Habs fans to watch, McDonagh has been a revelation for the New York Rangers this year, which is a credit to Trevor Timmins nonetheless. He may end up having the best career of any defenseman taken in 2007, a standout defensively while amassing 41 points over his first 122 NHL games.
Defensemen other teams took ahead of him:
Thomas Hickey, Los Angeles, Round 1, 4th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Karl Alzner, Washington Capitals, Round 1, 5th Overall - 39 PTS, 215 NHL GP
Keaton Ellerby, Florida Panthers, Round 1, 10th Overall - 17 PTS, 116 NHL GP
6) Carey Price - Round 1, 5th Overall, 2005
It may seem weird to include a fifth overall selection on this list, but I qualify this as a hit because of the overwhelming disappointment among Hab fans that followed. Most were clamouring for either Benoit Pouliot, taken one pick before Price, or Gilbert Brule, who Columbus took 6th. Looking back at those three, we can say that Timmins was on the ball with this pivotal selection. With the exception of Anze Kopitar and perhaps a healthy Marc Staal, no one taken after Price in that year's first round comes near his value today.
5) Max Pacioretty - Round 1, 22nd Overall, 2007
Another astute first rounder, there were those upset when Angelo Esposito was taken prior to Montreal returning to the podium for pick 22. Esposito, we now know, has yet to play an NHL game, while Pacioretty just finished a 33-goal campaign.
Forwards other teams took ahead of him:
Zach Hamill, Boston Bruins, Round 1, 8th Overall - 4 PTS, 20 NHL GP
Colton Gillies, Minnesota Wild, Round 1, 16th Overall - 16 PTS, 127 NHL GP
Logan MacMillan, Anaheim Ducks, Round 1, 19th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Angelo Esposito, Pittsburgh Penguins, Round 1, 20th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Riley Nash, Edmonton Oilers, Round 1, 21st Overall - 1 PTS, 5 NHL GP
4) Sergei Kostitsyn - Round 7, 200th Overall, 2005
Things may not have worked out for the younger Kostitsyn brother in Montreal, but there's no doubt that plucking a top 6 forward in round 7 of a draft is a big steal. Funny that he now plays in Nashville, since the Predators had perhaps a bigger steal that same round with Patric Hornqvist.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Philipp Gogulla, Buffalo Sabres, Round 2, 48th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Christofer Lofberg, Detroit Red Wings, Round 3, 80th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Fredrik Pettersson, Edmonton Oilers, Round 5, 157th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Lukas Vantuch, Boston Bruins, Round 6, 172nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Johan Dahlberg, Toronto Maple Leafs, Round 6, 173rd Overall - 0 NHL GP
3) Mikhail Grabovski - Round 5, 150th Overall, 2004
Grabovski may not have been able to flourish in Montreal, but he at least returned the team a 2nd round pick (later traded for Robert Lang) and a current prospect in Greg Pateryn. Pretty good value for a fifth rounder. Only four players selected outside the first round have scored more than Grabovski's 201 points, achieved in 319 NHL games.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Lauri Tukonen, Los Angeles Kings, Round 1, 11th Overall - 0 PTS, 5 NHL GP
Lukas Kaspar, San Jose Sharks, Round 1, 22nd Overall - 4 PTS, 16 NHL GP
Johannes Salmonsson, Pittsburgh Penguins, Round 2, 31st Overall - 0 NHL GP
Roman Voloshenko, Minnesota Wild, Round 2, 42nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Mikhail Yunkov, Washintgon Capitals, Round 2, 62nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
2) Mark Streit - Round 9, 262nd Overall, 2004
Some were unhappy when the Canadiens used a draft pick on a 27-year old, but the team snagged the rights to what would be a premiere NHL blueliner in the 9th round. Only three players from the entire 2004 draft have scored more points than Streit thus far, being third round steal Johan Franzen, and the draft's top two selections in Alexander Ovechkin and Evgeni Malkin. Of course, being 27 when drafted, Streit started off at an advantage, but Montreal certainly made the most of a late-round selection here.
1) P.K. Subban - Round 2, 43rd Overall, 2007
Montreal's young dynamic blueliner is well on his way to a promising career as a 20+ minute tough offensive d-man. The 2007 selection already has 160 regular season games under his belt, scoring 76 points, and adding 12 points in 21 playoff games. Certainly there are quite a few teams regretting having passed on him.
Defensemen other teams took ahead of him:
Alex Plante, Edmonton Oilers, Round 1, 15th Overall - 2 PTS, 10 NHL GP
Nick Petrecki, San Jose Sharks, Round 1, 28th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Nick Ross, Phoenix Coyotes, Round 1, 30th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Taylor Ellington, Vancouver Canucks, Round 2, 33rd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Josh Godfrey, Washington Capitals, Round 2, 34th Overall - 0 NHL GP
MISSES
4) Jason Missiaen - Round 4, 116th Overall, 2008
The goaltending pipeline in Montreal is quite barren, but the team has tried to restock it with a couple of picks. Unfortunately, they haven't panned out, with the giant-sized Missiaen not earning a contract with the club. Some netminders taken after him have fared much better.
Goaltenders other teams took after him:
Dustin Tokarski, Tampa Bay Lightning, Round 5, 122nd Overall - 7 NHL GP
Kevin Poulin, New York Islanders, Round 5, 126th Overall - 16 NHL GP
Anders Lindback, Nashville Predators, Round 7, 207th Overall - 38 NHL GP
3) Mathieu Carle - Round 2, 53rd Overall, 2006
Carle showed promise early on, but never reached his potential partly due to injuries, playing only 3 NHL games before being sent to the Anaheim Ducks last summer. Unable to get playing time there, he recently signed a deal to pursue his career in Europe.
Defensemen other teams took after him:
Mike Weber, Buffalo Sabres, Round 2, 57th Overall - 25 PTS, 132 NHL GP
Jamie McBain, Carolina Hurricanes, Round 2, 63rd Overall - 67 PTS, 166 NHL GP
Theo Peckham, Edmonton Oilers, Round 3, 75th Overall - 17 PTS, 156 NHL GP
Andrew MacDonald, New York Islanders, Round 6, 160th Overall - 53 PTS, 184 NHL GP
2) Ben Maxwell - Round 2, 49th Overall, 2006
Maxwell had a good junior career, but could never transition his game beyond solid AHL production. He does have 47 NHL games to his name, but as an offensive player, has scored only 8 points. The thing that hurts most is the player, coming out of the same league, taken one spot after him.
Forwards other teams took after him:
Milan Lucic, Boston Bruins, Round 2, 50th Overall - 212 PTS, 359 NHL GP
Artem Anisimov, New York Rangers, Round 2, 54th Overall - 108 PTS, 244 NHL GP
Brad Marchand, Boston Bruins, Round 3, 71st Overall - 97 PTS, 173 NHL GP
Cal Clutterbuck, Minnesota Wild, Round 3, 72nd Overall - 100 PTS, 304 NHL GP
1) David Fischer - Round 1, 20th Overall, 2006
I'm sure you saw this one coming. A first round flop who was left unsigned, the team opting for a compensatory pick instead. Fischer currently plays in the ECHL, where his Florida Everblades just won the league championship, though Fischer had to absent himself late in the team's run to be with is ailing mother. The young man's career is far from over at age 24, having scored 50 points in 65 ECHL games this year and another 12 in 13 playoff games. He will most likely be looking for a full-time AHL contract next season as he continues to try to get on track. This was a pretty weak draft overall in fairness, but there was much better talent still on the board in that first round.
Players other teams took after him:
Claude Giroux, Philadelphia Flyers, Round 1, 22nd Overall - 243 PTS, 285 NHL GP
Patrik Berglund, St. Louis Blues, Round 1, 25th Overall - 163 PTS, 310 NHL GP
Jamie McGinn, San Jose Sharks, Round 2, 36th Overall - 62 PTS, 221 NHL GP
Nikolai Kulemin, Toronto Maple Leafs, Round 2, 44th Overall - 152 PTS, 303 NHL GP
So what can we take out of all this? On draft day, you win some and you lose some. It is not an exact science, but we should on the whole be happy with the track record of Montreal's staff. Things also look good for the future, with Bergevin stating his intention to beef up the scouting staff. Let's hope 2012 looks a lot more like the 2007 or 2005 drafts for the Canadiens than it does the 2006.
It's been well-documented that Montreal has a great overall drafting record - one of the best in the league - over the last 10 or so years. While first rounds have been hit or miss, Trevor Timmins and co have an uncanny ability to pluck gems out of drafts' later rounds. So today will look at the last 5 years and go over some hits or misses by the team which will show both how much of an impact every selection can have on an organization moving forward, and why we should have faith in the men in charge in Montreal.
But when I say the last 5 years... It's still far too early to judge the class of 2011. It's even too early to judge the class of 2010, though Morgan Ellis and Brendan Gallagher are looking like more mid-round steals for the Canadiens. And while for some teams it might be an ok time to look at 2009, there are still too many questions around the players Montreal took to properly assess it. So our five year span will instead cover the drafts between 2004 and 2008.
HITS
9) Matt D'Agostini - Round 6, 190th Overall, 2005
D'Agostini got off to an explosive goal-scoring start in Montreal as a rookie, but failed to earn ice time during a sophomore slump. Ultimately, this led to his being shipped off to St. Louis for Aaron Palushaj, and while D'Ags is far from a household name with an uncertain future, he already has a 20-goal and 40-point season under his belt. Not bad for the 6th round.
Similar OHL players other teams took ahead of him:
Chris Lawrence, Tampa Bay Lightning, Round 3, 89th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Dan Collins, Florida Panthers, Round 3, 90th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Bobby Bolt, Anaheim Ducks, Round 5, 127th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Josh Beaulieu, Philadelphia Flyers, Round 5, 152nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
8) Alexei Emelin - Round 3, 84th Overall, 2004
The hard-hitting Emelin finally made his much-anticipated NHL debut this season and was worth the wait. He looks to be a fixture on Montreal's back end for a long time to come.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Johan Fransson, Dallas Stars, Round 2, 34th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Kirill Lyamin, Ottawa Senators, Round 2, 58th Overall - 0 NHL GP
7) Ryan McDonagh - Round 1, 12th Overall, 2007
As hard as it has been for Habs fans to watch, McDonagh has been a revelation for the New York Rangers this year, which is a credit to Trevor Timmins nonetheless. He may end up having the best career of any defenseman taken in 2007, a standout defensively while amassing 41 points over his first 122 NHL games.
Defensemen other teams took ahead of him:
Thomas Hickey, Los Angeles, Round 1, 4th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Karl Alzner, Washington Capitals, Round 1, 5th Overall - 39 PTS, 215 NHL GP
Keaton Ellerby, Florida Panthers, Round 1, 10th Overall - 17 PTS, 116 NHL GP
6) Carey Price - Round 1, 5th Overall, 2005
It may seem weird to include a fifth overall selection on this list, but I qualify this as a hit because of the overwhelming disappointment among Hab fans that followed. Most were clamouring for either Benoit Pouliot, taken one pick before Price, or Gilbert Brule, who Columbus took 6th. Looking back at those three, we can say that Timmins was on the ball with this pivotal selection. With the exception of Anze Kopitar and perhaps a healthy Marc Staal, no one taken after Price in that year's first round comes near his value today.
5) Max Pacioretty - Round 1, 22nd Overall, 2007
Another astute first rounder, there were those upset when Angelo Esposito was taken prior to Montreal returning to the podium for pick 22. Esposito, we now know, has yet to play an NHL game, while Pacioretty just finished a 33-goal campaign.
Forwards other teams took ahead of him:
Zach Hamill, Boston Bruins, Round 1, 8th Overall - 4 PTS, 20 NHL GP
Colton Gillies, Minnesota Wild, Round 1, 16th Overall - 16 PTS, 127 NHL GP
Logan MacMillan, Anaheim Ducks, Round 1, 19th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Angelo Esposito, Pittsburgh Penguins, Round 1, 20th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Riley Nash, Edmonton Oilers, Round 1, 21st Overall - 1 PTS, 5 NHL GP
4) Sergei Kostitsyn - Round 7, 200th Overall, 2005
Things may not have worked out for the younger Kostitsyn brother in Montreal, but there's no doubt that plucking a top 6 forward in round 7 of a draft is a big steal. Funny that he now plays in Nashville, since the Predators had perhaps a bigger steal that same round with Patric Hornqvist.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Philipp Gogulla, Buffalo Sabres, Round 2, 48th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Christofer Lofberg, Detroit Red Wings, Round 3, 80th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Fredrik Pettersson, Edmonton Oilers, Round 5, 157th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Lukas Vantuch, Boston Bruins, Round 6, 172nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Johan Dahlberg, Toronto Maple Leafs, Round 6, 173rd Overall - 0 NHL GP
3) Mikhail Grabovski - Round 5, 150th Overall, 2004
Grabovski may not have been able to flourish in Montreal, but he at least returned the team a 2nd round pick (later traded for Robert Lang) and a current prospect in Greg Pateryn. Pretty good value for a fifth rounder. Only four players selected outside the first round have scored more than Grabovski's 201 points, achieved in 319 NHL games.
Similar European players other teams took ahead of him:
Lauri Tukonen, Los Angeles Kings, Round 1, 11th Overall - 0 PTS, 5 NHL GP
Lukas Kaspar, San Jose Sharks, Round 1, 22nd Overall - 4 PTS, 16 NHL GP
Johannes Salmonsson, Pittsburgh Penguins, Round 2, 31st Overall - 0 NHL GP
Roman Voloshenko, Minnesota Wild, Round 2, 42nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Mikhail Yunkov, Washintgon Capitals, Round 2, 62nd Overall - 0 NHL GP
2) Mark Streit - Round 9, 262nd Overall, 2004
Some were unhappy when the Canadiens used a draft pick on a 27-year old, but the team snagged the rights to what would be a premiere NHL blueliner in the 9th round. Only three players from the entire 2004 draft have scored more points than Streit thus far, being third round steal Johan Franzen, and the draft's top two selections in Alexander Ovechkin and Evgeni Malkin. Of course, being 27 when drafted, Streit started off at an advantage, but Montreal certainly made the most of a late-round selection here.
1) P.K. Subban - Round 2, 43rd Overall, 2007
Montreal's young dynamic blueliner is well on his way to a promising career as a 20+ minute tough offensive d-man. The 2007 selection already has 160 regular season games under his belt, scoring 76 points, and adding 12 points in 21 playoff games. Certainly there are quite a few teams regretting having passed on him.
Defensemen other teams took ahead of him:
Alex Plante, Edmonton Oilers, Round 1, 15th Overall - 2 PTS, 10 NHL GP
Nick Petrecki, San Jose Sharks, Round 1, 28th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Nick Ross, Phoenix Coyotes, Round 1, 30th Overall - 0 NHL GP
Taylor Ellington, Vancouver Canucks, Round 2, 33rd Overall - 0 NHL GP
Josh Godfrey, Washington Capitals, Round 2, 34th Overall - 0 NHL GP
MISSES
4) Jason Missiaen - Round 4, 116th Overall, 2008
The goaltending pipeline in Montreal is quite barren, but the team has tried to restock it with a couple of picks. Unfortunately, they haven't panned out, with the giant-sized Missiaen not earning a contract with the club. Some netminders taken after him have fared much better.
Goaltenders other teams took after him:
Dustin Tokarski, Tampa Bay Lightning, Round 5, 122nd Overall - 7 NHL GP
Kevin Poulin, New York Islanders, Round 5, 126th Overall - 16 NHL GP
Anders Lindback, Nashville Predators, Round 7, 207th Overall - 38 NHL GP
3) Mathieu Carle - Round 2, 53rd Overall, 2006
Carle showed promise early on, but never reached his potential partly due to injuries, playing only 3 NHL games before being sent to the Anaheim Ducks last summer. Unable to get playing time there, he recently signed a deal to pursue his career in Europe.
Defensemen other teams took after him:
Mike Weber, Buffalo Sabres, Round 2, 57th Overall - 25 PTS, 132 NHL GP
Jamie McBain, Carolina Hurricanes, Round 2, 63rd Overall - 67 PTS, 166 NHL GP
Theo Peckham, Edmonton Oilers, Round 3, 75th Overall - 17 PTS, 156 NHL GP
Andrew MacDonald, New York Islanders, Round 6, 160th Overall - 53 PTS, 184 NHL GP
2) Ben Maxwell - Round 2, 49th Overall, 2006
Maxwell had a good junior career, but could never transition his game beyond solid AHL production. He does have 47 NHL games to his name, but as an offensive player, has scored only 8 points. The thing that hurts most is the player, coming out of the same league, taken one spot after him.
Forwards other teams took after him:
Milan Lucic, Boston Bruins, Round 2, 50th Overall - 212 PTS, 359 NHL GP
Artem Anisimov, New York Rangers, Round 2, 54th Overall - 108 PTS, 244 NHL GP
Brad Marchand, Boston Bruins, Round 3, 71st Overall - 97 PTS, 173 NHL GP
Cal Clutterbuck, Minnesota Wild, Round 3, 72nd Overall - 100 PTS, 304 NHL GP
1) David Fischer - Round 1, 20th Overall, 2006
I'm sure you saw this one coming. A first round flop who was left unsigned, the team opting for a compensatory pick instead. Fischer currently plays in the ECHL, where his Florida Everblades just won the league championship, though Fischer had to absent himself late in the team's run to be with is ailing mother. The young man's career is far from over at age 24, having scored 50 points in 65 ECHL games this year and another 12 in 13 playoff games. He will most likely be looking for a full-time AHL contract next season as he continues to try to get on track. This was a pretty weak draft overall in fairness, but there was much better talent still on the board in that first round.
Players other teams took after him:
Claude Giroux, Philadelphia Flyers, Round 1, 22nd Overall - 243 PTS, 285 NHL GP
Patrik Berglund, St. Louis Blues, Round 1, 25th Overall - 163 PTS, 310 NHL GP
Jamie McGinn, San Jose Sharks, Round 2, 36th Overall - 62 PTS, 221 NHL GP
Nikolai Kulemin, Toronto Maple Leafs, Round 2, 44th Overall - 152 PTS, 303 NHL GP
So what can we take out of all this? On draft day, you win some and you lose some. It is not an exact science, but we should on the whole be happy with the track record of Montreal's staff. Things also look good for the future, with Bergevin stating his intention to beef up the scouting staff. Let's hope 2012 looks a lot more like the 2007 or 2005 drafts for the Canadiens than it does the 2006.
Monday, May 28, 2012
Habs Name Mellanby Director of Player Personnel
In yet another poorly-kept secret, the Montreal Canadiens officially announced today the appointment of Scott Mellanby ad Director of Player Personnel. See the official announcement here:
http://canadiens.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=632943
Mellanby, 45, is a veteran of 1,431 NHL games, split between the Philadelphia Flyers, Edmonton Oilers, Florida Panthers, St. Louis Blues, and Atlanta Thrashers. A Montreal native, he was a teammate of Marc Bergevin's for two seasons while in St. Louis. Also of note is that for his final two seasons during which he captained the Thrashers, he was coached by Hab head coaching candidate Bob Hartley. After retiring following the 2006-07 season, Mellanby first joined the Vancouver Canucks as a scout and special advisor to General Manager Mike Gillis. He moved to St. Louis as an Assistant Coach for the last two years, prior to stepping down days ago, claiming that hockey operations were more of a passion than coaching for him.
This is the latest in a series of moves as Bergevin - as he puts it - surrounds himself with good hockey people, of which you can never have enough. His group now includes two Assistant General Managers - Rick Dudley and Larry Carriere - a Director of Amateur Scouting and Player Development in Trevor Timmins, and Mellanby. We don't know the exact division of labour yet, with speculation that Timmins may focus on scouting, leaving development tasks to Dudley and Mellanby. In any case, it's hard not to be excited about the team Bergevin is building, with lots of experience and well-respected throughout the hockey world.
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